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Market Inflation
Fed Inflation
Labor
Cross-Asset Risk

Economic Calendar

This week's high-impact releases.

View full calendar →
Mon · Oct 5
14:00
ISM Services PMI· SEPUS
Fcst55.0
Act54.9
Wed · Oct 7
18:00
FOMC MinutesUS
Fcst—
Act—
Fri · Oct 9
14:00
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel· OCTUS
Fcst47.9
Act—
Next Week Peek
Existing Home Sales·Oct 13Core Inflation Rate MoM·Oct 14Core Inflation Rate YoY·Oct 14Inflation Rate MoM·Oct 14Inflation Rate YoY·Oct 14PPI MoM·Oct 15

US Treasury Yield Curve

2026-10-06 · Normal
Today · 2026-10-06
2s10s 0.48%un-inverted
3M10Y 1.06%
Steepened vs 1M +7bp
vs 1Y -10bp

Fed Funds Futures Curve (ZQ)

Market-implied EFFR path. Each month's ZQ contract prices the average EFFR for that month.

Anchor · EFFR
3.88%
Fed target 3.75–4.00
Today 1M ago EFFR 3.88% Fed target band FOMC · post-meeting implied vs EFFRBold = SEP meeting (Summary of Economic Projections)

Green dots are each month's average implied EFFR from its ZQ contract. FOMC labels solve the implied post-meeting rate (vs current EFFR) using day weights, so a late-month meeting's figure can differ from the dot-to-dot gap. Hover a meeting month for the breakdown.

Next meeting
Oct 28 · +4bp
Cuts by EOY 2026
-1.0 (+24bp)
vs 1M ago: -0.4
Terminal rate
3.88%
Oct 26 contract
Repricing · 1M
+29bp hawkish

US Mortgage Rates

FRED · Freddie Mac PMMS · weekly (Thu)
30-Year Fixed
7.40%
+0.12 · 1W
52W lo 5.98%52W hi 7.40%
15-Year Fixed
6.73%
+0.13 · 1W
52W lo 5.35%52W hi 6.73%
30Y Mortgage − 10Y Treasury
2.04%
+12bp vs 20Y avg
20Y avg 1.92%
Elevated spread reflects MBS supply + prepayment option cost in high-vol regime.

Commodities

yfinance futures · 15-min delayed · 2026-10-08

From rates to companies

Where the numbers above show up in company results

Sectors that move with rates

  • Financials

    Bank lending margins move with the shape of the yield curve.

  • Real Estate

    REITs borrow heavily, so their costs follow long-term yields.

  • Utilities

    Steady dividends make utilities compete with Treasuries for income.

Open a company, no account needed

Full financials, segments and filings for these five.

Read the charts